Rapid decline in Lionfish for the Saba Bank 

Research conducted by the Saba Bank Management Unit and Wageningen University and Research documented the third incidence of rapid lionfish population decline within the Western Atlantic since their introduction over 30 years ago.  This local population crash could indicate that lionfish are reaching the final stage of their invasion of this area.

Lion fish
(Photo credit Rudy van Gelderen)

Lionfish, a venomous fish native to the Indo-pacific, were first introduced in the Western Atlantic more than 30 years ago.  Since then, they’ve been steadily spreading throughout the Caribbean, now reaching as far south as Brazil. Although populations seemed to be expanding rapidly, several locations have actually started to see a “leveling-off” of numbers, leaving many experts to believe the Caribbean may start to see more stable or even decreasing lionfish populations moving forward.


A recent survey recorded lionfish captured in lobster and redfish (snapper) fishery traps within the Saba Bank.  Since 2010, Saba Bank has seen a rapid rise in lionfish numbers and then a subsequent population crash since 2020.  This represents the third case of boom-bust events for lionfish populations within the tropical Western Atlantic.  The first event was documented in the Bahamas in 2012, and the second event, which was associated with a high incidence of skin lesions, was observed in the Gulf of Mexico in 2020.

Interestingly, none of the lionfish caught within the Saba Bank showed any signs of skin lesions, leaving experts uncertain about the cause of the sudden population dip. Overall, long-term monitoring data shows that the lionfish caught in traps peaked between 2012 and 2015 and then steadily declined before reaching its lowest values in 2020.  Although the lionfish invasion is one of the most widely studied marine fish invasions, there is still very little known about the factors controlling these populations.  Perhaps the rapid decrease in populations within the Gulf of Mexico resulted in lower overall larval recruitment for the Caribbean. If this is the case, researchers expect to see lower lionfish populations in other areas of the Caribbean as well.

Final Stage

There are 27 exotic marine species recorded throughout the Dutch Caribbean. Research, such as this, gives local governments and park management organizations a better understanding of the fragility of local reefs. It would appear that lionfish have now reached the final stage of their invasion, firmly established on the reef with population numbers beginning to stabilize. Hopefully, local predators will soon develop resistance to the lionfish venom, allowing these fish to become integrated into the local food web.

You can learn more by finding the full report on the Dutch Caribbean Biodiversity Database.


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